Markets Slide Ahead of Trump’s Tariff Blitz: 'Liberation Day' Sparks Global Trade Showdown
April 1, 2025 — Global markets are on edge as investors brace for “Liberation Day,” President Trump’s latest volley in the escalating trade war. Starting April 2, the U.S. will impose a sweeping new set of tariffs targeting major trading partners—moves that could reshape global commerce and rattle financial markets for months to come.
Ask Aime: What stock price will "Liberation Day" affect?
At the core of the administration’s plan is a series of reciprocal tariffs aimed at narrowing the roughly $1 trillion U.S. trade deficit. The initiative includes a 20% tariff on Chinese goods, 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico, and broad duties on industrial metals. Now, the auto industry is in the crosshairs.
Ask Aime: What is the potential impact of President Trump's new set of tariffs on the U.S. economy and global trade?
Auto Sector Takes Center Stage
Last week, the White House announced a 25% tariff on imported foreign automobiles, set to begin April 3. If implemented fully, the tariffs will expand by May to include critical vehicle components such as engines and transmissions. Analysts estimate these duties could increase the average price of a new car by $5,000 to $10,000—a development that could chill consumer demand and weigh on automaker margins.
"Investors are preparing for 'Liberation Day' on April 2nd,” wrote Megan Horneman, Chief Investment Officer at Verdence Capital Advisors, in a weekly client note titled Liberation Day is Here. She added, “It has been a difficult quarter for investors as we try to gauge the impact of tariffs when we don’t even know what the ultimate tariffs will be.”
GM Trend
The market reaction has been swift. As of 10:40 a.m. general motors (GM) shares are down 12% year-to-date, while ford motor company (F) has managed a 2% gain, reflecting relative optimism around its domestic-heavy supply chain.
Navarro Defends Tariffs as Economic Engine
On Sunday, White House trade advisor Peter Navarro went on the offensive, touting the economic benefits of tariffs on Fox News Sunday. “The message is that tariffs are tax cuts, tariffs are jobs, tariffs are national security,” Navarro said. “Tariffs are great for America. They will make America great again.”
Navarro claimed the tariffs could generate $6 trillion in revenue over the next decade, a projection that, if accurate, would represent one of the largest effective tax hikes in modern U.S. history. The White House argues that this revenue could be reinvested into domestic industries and infrastructure—though critics say it will more likely be absorbed by higher consumer prices and lower corporate margins.
Meanwhile, trading partners are not sitting idle. As outlined in the Verdence note, Canada is targeting U.S. agricultural and consumer goods with tariffs of up to 25%, while the European Union is taking aim at American alcohol and motorcycles. Mexico has also signaled tariffs of 10%-20% on food exports, though they are not yet implemented.
“Global equity markets have struggled,” Horneman added, “as the costs of a renewed trade war begin to materialize—not just in the numbers, but in consumer sentiment.”
With recession risks rising and inflation expectations climbing—consumer inflation expectations for the next year have hit 6%, the highest since 2023—investors are likely to remain cautious as Washington’s tariff agenda unfolds.