Bitcoin Surges 15% as Binance Whales Hold Firm Amid Market Chaos

Bitcoin has experienced a remarkable rebound this week, with its price nearing $85,000 after a significant dip below $74,000 last Monday. This volatility was triggered by macroeconomic turmoil, particularly the tariff drama involving Trump. While retail investors responded with panic selloffs, Binance whales demonstrated a more composed approach. According to CryptoQuant data, these whales are consolidating their positions rather than selling off, indicating cautious optimism during these volatile times. This strategic behavior has contributed to Bitcoin's recent price surge.

CryptoQuant analyst @Darkfost_Coc noted that Binance whales are not panicking. Instead, both the Exchange Whale Ratio and whale inflows on the Binance exchange are decreasing. This suggests a strategic approach rather than fear-driven reactions, which could be supporting the recent surge in Bitcoin's price. Two critical metrics highlight this trend. The Exchange Whale Ratio on the Binance exchange, which compares the top 10 inflows to total inflows, shows a steady increase in its 365-day moving average (DMA). This indicates growing long-term whale activity during bullish phases. However, the 30-day DMA reveals a short-term dip in whale participation, returning to levels seen in late 2024. This decline suggests reduced selling pressure and a preference for holding assets.

The second metric, Binance Whale to Exchange Flow, tracks whale inflows over 30 days and shows a sharp drop of over $3 billion, similar to corrections observed in 2024. This reduction in inflows signals that whales are refraining from aggressive selling and instead consolidating their holdings. While Binance whales remain calm, U.S. institutional investors have taken a more cautious stance. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw massive outflows last week, with BlackRock’s IBIT fund alone losing $343 million. This divergence highlights differing strategies between retail-focused U.S. markets and whale-dominated activity on the Binance exchange. As Bitcoin edges closer to $85K, the steadfast behavior of Binance whales may be pivotal in maintaining upward momentum amidst ongoing market chaos.

Bitcoin commenced trading around the $85,250 mark, working in a trading range from the previous day. In the early hours, Bitcoin tried to ascend, but promptly faced correction as it fell to $84,750 support. At 4:30 UTC, a death cross was observed on the MACD, which led Bitcoin to abandon the support. However, Bitcoin resisted the downtrend and formed a trading range around the $84,600 mark, eventually falling to the $84,250 support. With a golden cross now in support, Bitcoin attempted an uptrend at 9:00 UTC. But the Bitcoin price could not keep the momentum going, as a downward trend ensued. This downtrend took BTC to $83,580. Overbought conditions were now seen, as the downward trend reversal occurred, characterized by heavy fluctuations. Bitcoin finally found support at $83,000. Another golden cross followed, and Bitcoin started climbing against, facing rejection at $85,330. Since then, Bitcoin has displayed range-bound behavior, stabilizing around the $84,600 mark.

Bitcoin has been able to test the $85,300 resistance but has failed to break it in the past week. Even yesterday, it was seen hovering above $85,000 but could not produce any further gains. For now, if Bitcoin resists the selling pressure effectively, we could see an upward breakout out of this range. However, the RSI also seems to be reacting sensitively to the Bitcoin price movement. Given that, an upward breakout may corroborate a correction right after. In that case, Bitcoin would prefer holding on to the $83,500 level.