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Bitcoin Short-Term Traders Face -18.4% Losses, Worse Than FTX Crash

Coin WorldSunday, Apr 6, 2025 11:14 am ET
1min read

Bitcoin's short-term traders are currently facing steep losses, with the current figures surpassing even the chaos seen during the FTX crash and the 2024 market correction. The pain is hitting short-term investors the hardest, particularly those holding BTC for just 1 to 3 months. As market uncertainty continues to linger, this trend of growing short-term investor losses could indicate a deeper shift in sentiment, leaving many wondering if the worst is yet to come or if we’re simply stuck waiting for a breakout.

Ask Aime: What is the current outlook for Bitcoin short-term traders amidst significant losses?

Bitcoin’s short-term holders are deep in the red, with them now sitting on realized losses worse than anything seen since the FTX implosion. The chart shows the profit/loss margin plunging to -18.4%, eerily close to the -18.9% levels of late 2022. Yet interestingly, this isn’t triggering full-blown panic. While the market’s bleeding, there’s little sign of a mass exodus – just traders biting their lips and waiting it out. The mood? Less “get out now,” more “this better be worth it.”

Unlike long-term hodlers who’ve weathered bear cycles before, short-term holders tend to enter near local tops — right when hype is peaking. As BTC flirted with highs around $84K in early March, many of these traders piled in, only to be caught in a slow bleed rather than a dramatic crash. It’s the worst kind of loss: dragged out, confidence-chipping, and murky in direction. The data shows this group is now shouldering the brunt of realized losses – a clear reminder that FOMO buyers still learn the hard way.

The current drawdown mirrors the FTX crash in magnitude, but not in mood. Back then, the losses were driven by panic, contagion, and vanishing liquidity. Today, markets are hesitant, liquidity is decent, and BTC is still holding above $80K. The pain, however, is real. Market watchers are observing past patterns closely, and with loss levels now breaching 2024’s correction, comparisons to November 2022 are becoming harder to ignore. If history rhymes, then short-term capitulation could still be lurking just around the corner.

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Disclaimer: the above is a summary showing certain market information. AInvest is not responsible for any data errors, omissions or other information that may be displayed incorrectly as the data is derived from a third party source. Communications displaying market prices, data and other information available in this post are meant for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Please do your own research when investing. All investments involve risk and the past performance of a security, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Keep in mind that while diversification may help spread risk, it does not assure a profit, or protect against loss in a down market.
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