Bitcoin Reclaims $86,000 as Whale Selling Drops 33%
Bitcoin has experienced a significant recovery, rising from a local low of $74,000 to a high of $86,000 over the past week. This recovery is indicative of a shift in market sentiment, particularly among large market participants known as whales. Whales, who are significant holders of Bitcoin, have shown a decrease in selling activity, which is a positive sign for the market. According to CryptoQuant, whale activity on Binance has cooled down, with inflow values dropping by over $3 billion in the past thirty days. This decline in whale activity mirrors a previous correction in 2024, suggesting that whales are maintaining composure and not showing signs of panic.
The Exchange Whale Ratio and whale inflows on Binance are both decreasing, further signaling a shift in market sentiment. This change in behavior among large holders indicates a steady recovery in confidence. Additionally, short-term holders (STHs) on Binance are also reducing their selling pressure. BTC inflows from STHs to Binance have been steadily decreasing, dropping from around 17,000 BTC inflows on November 16 to 14,000 on March 3, and now hovering around 9,000. This easing of selling pressure from short-term investors is a positive signal for the market.
The reduction in selling activity from both whales and short-term holders reflects a rising demand for Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s Apparent Demand (30-day sum) has recently started to bounce from deeply negative territory, hinting at a possible shift in market behavior. This shift in demand is evidenced by the recent spike in the Taker Buy Sell Ratio, which has reached 1.07. When the Taker Buy Sell Ratio surpasses 1, it suggests that buyers are now dominant in the market, reflecting higher demand as investors accumulate. The rise in demand means a pause in selling pressure, suggesting a potential shift in momentum.
Ask Aime: How will the decrease in whale activity on Binance affect the Bitcoin market in the short to medium term?
A reduction in short-term holder activity and whale selling suggests a shift in market direction, with bulls gaining control. Bitcoin is showing signs of a potential trend reversal, setting the stage for sustained gains. The Fund Flow Ratio indicates limited engagement with exchanges for selling. Over the past week, the fund flow ratio has steadily decreased to 0.07, highlighting that holders are refraining from aggressive selling. With reduced selling activity and increased demand, the outlook for BTC appears promising, positioning the cryptocurrency for sustained recovery. Historically, low selling pressure combined with rising demand has often led to price increases.
If current market conditions remain stable, BTC could reclaim key resistance at $87,167 and potentially aim for $88,600. However, if volatility intensifies and sellers regain control, BTC may face a correction, dropping to $82,460. The overall market sentiment suggests that Bitcoin is experiencing strong demand across all market participants, with whales on Binance not selling Bitcoin, reflecting growing market confidence. This shift in market behavior is a positive sign for the recovery of Bitcoin, as it indicates that large holders are maintaining their positions and not showing signs of panic.
