Bitcoin News Today: TRX Could Outperform BTC as Opportunity Score Hints at 25% YTD Surge

TRON (TRX) has emerged as a standout performer in 2025, with its price rising approximately 25% year-to-date amid broader skepticism about altcoin potential following Bitcoin’s (BTC) six-figure valuation in late 2024. Analysts have begun scrutinizing whether TRX could outperform BTC, a scenario underscored by the TRX Opportunity Score metric, which tracks the altcoin’s relative dynamics against Bitcoin. Joao Wedson, founder of on-chain analytics firm Alphractal, highlighted this metric in a July 26 analysis on X, suggesting TRX may stage a significant outperformance in the coming months.

The TRX Opportunity Score synthesizes factors such as the TRX/BTC price ratio, daily returns, volatility, beta, and correlation. Currently, the metric indicates TRX is in an underperformance zone relative to BTC—a pattern historically linked to eventual reversals. Wedson emphasized that past cycles have shown TRX’s price typically surges after entering such zones, noting that “every time TRON dropped into the red or orange zones on the chart (indicating weakness), it often began strong relative upward trends and went on to outperform Bitcoin.” This historical consistency has led Wedson to advocate for a strategic reallocation of capital, stating investors could “consider rotating a small portion of BTC into TRX” to capitalize on a potential upward shift in the altcoin’s trajectory [1].

Bitcoin, currently priced near $118,100, has posted a 10% increase over the past month, reflecting broader macroeconomic optimism. TRX, meanwhile, trades at $0.3197, with a 18% gain in the same period. While BTC’s dominance in the market remains unchallenged, TRX’s stablecoin infrastructure—accounting for 34.1% of the stablecoin market—positions it as a critical backbone for cross-chain activity and DeFi applications, contrasting with Bitcoin’s speculative narrative [2]. However, shifting investor behavior is complicating the outlook. Some capital has flowed to niche projects like Remittix (RTX), which has seen a 40% quarter-over-quarter volume surge, while others remain cautious about TRX’s ability to sustain its market share amid regulatory uncertainties and competition from projects like Solana (SOL) [3].

The debate over TRX’s potential to outperform BTC hinges on divergent narratives. On one hand, its utility-driven demand and stablecoin dominance offer a structural advantage. On the other, Bitcoin’s entrenched role in global finance and recent ETF inflows suggest it may remain the benchmark for crypto performance. Analysts caution that while TRX’s fundamentals appear robust, its long-term trajectory depends on broader crypto adoption and infrastructure improvements. For now, the TRX Opportunity Score’s historical patterns provide a compelling case for strategic exposure, though investors are urged to balance risk with the altcoin’s inherent volatility [1][2].

Source: [1] [Is It Time To Exchange Bitcoin For TRON? This Metric Says TRX Is About To Outperform BTC] [https://www.newsbtc.com/news/tron-trx/is-it-time-to-exchange-bitcoin-for-tron/]

[2] [Stablecoins Are on the Rise. 3 Reasons Investors Should ...] [https://www.aol.com/stablecoins-rise-3-reasons-investors-094500904.html]

[3] [Investors Shift to RTX as TRX Exposure Wanes on 40% ...] [https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-news-today-investors-shift-rtx-trx-exposure-wanes-40-volume-surge-60-exit-2507/]