Bitcoin in 2035: A Bull Run or a Bear Trap?

In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin stands as the undisputed king, a digital gold that has captivated investors and speculators alike. As we stand on the precipice of 2025, the question on everyone's mind is: Where will Bitcoin be in 10 years? Will it soar to unprecedented heights, or will it crash and burn, leaving investors in ruins?

To answer this question, we must delve into the past, present, and future of Bitcoin, examining the factors that have shaped its trajectory and those that will continue to influence its path. From historical trends and regulatory developments to technological advancements and market sentiment, the journey of Bitcoin is a rollercoaster ride of highs and lows, triumphs and tribulations.



The Rise of Bitcoin: A Historical Perspective

Bitcoin's journey began in 2009, when an anonymous entity known as Satoshi Nakamoto introduced the world to a decentralized digital currency. Since then, Bitcoin has experienced three major bull runs, each marked by a meteoric rise in price followed by a precipitous fall. The first all-time high (ATH) was in November 2013, when Bitcoin reached $1,156. After this peak, the price dropped to its lowest point at $211.73 before the next bull run. This pattern of significant price increases followed by corrections has been a recurring theme in Bitcoin's history.

The last bull run was in November 2021, and since then, 1197 days have passed. Historically, it took approximately 4 years for Bitcoin to reach a new all-time high after a significant drop, suggesting that the next bull run could be imminent. Halving events, which occur approximately every four years, have also had a profound impact on Bitcoin's price. These events reduce the block reward for miners, effectively decreasing the supply of new Bitcoins entering the market. The last halving event occurred in May 2020, and the next one is expected in 2024. Historically, halving events have been followed by significant price increases. For example, after the 2016 halving, the price of Bitcoin increased from around $650 to nearly $20,000 within a year. This historical trend suggests that the upcoming halving event in 2024 could drive the price of Bitcoin higher in the next decade.

The Present State of Bitcoin: A Volatile Market

As of March 17, 2025, Bitcoin is trading at $93,811, down by -1% in the last 24 hours. The price of BTC last day of February was above the open price nine times out of 12, and 3 out of 12 the price was lower than the price at the start of the month. This indicates that the price of BTC can be unpredictable and subject to sudden changes. The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is currently at 22.59, indicating oversold conditions, which signals that price can rise in the near term. On the weekly chart, the RSI is at 63.48, indicating a natural condition.

The latest price for one Bitcoin/BTC coin is $93,811. It's down by -1% in the last 24 hours. 52.90% of days, the price of BTC closed above the opening. The maximum price ever recorded in our base for one BTC is $106,744, it was and 2 Months ago, currently price is down by -12.12% from that high. From a total of 17 technical indicators, 6 calls to buy, and 9 to sell, the prediction sentiment short-term is bearish based on technical price analysis. The first major uptrend resistance for BTC is at the $94,381 level, it needs to close above that level to continue to move higher, and bottom support sits at $90,907. So if the price falls below $90,907, we may see the price go even lower. On the other hand, if it will be able to close above the $94,381 level, it can go up to the next resistance level at $99,449.



The Future of Bitcoin: A Regulatory Minefield

Regulatory developments and government interventions are crucial factors that can significantly impact the future value and adoption of Bitcoin. Governments around the world are building out new rules for cryptocurrencies, which could have significant implications on Bitcoin’s legal standing and price. For instance, the European Union introduced the world’s first comprehensive cryptocurrency regulations in May 2023, known as the Markets in Crytpo-Assets Regulation (MiCA), which requires rigorous Know Your Customer (KYC) standards and transparent reporting.

In the United States, the regulatory landscape is still evolving. The Financial Innovation and Technology (FIT) for the 21st Century Act and the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act aim to define when a cryptocurrency is a security or a commodity, expand oversight of the industry, and clarify the roles of different bodies in managing crypto. However, these efforts have stalled, indicating ongoing uncertainty. Investors should monitor developments closely, as regulatory clarity could lead to increased institutional adoption and price stability.

Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) are another factor that could impact Bitcoin's future. CBDCs are digital versions of a country’s fiat currency issued by central banks. The introduction of CBDCs could have significant implications for Bitcoin's legal standing and adoption. For example, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) has banned crypto enterprises from operating in the country, stating that they facilitate public financing without approval. This restrictive approach could limit Bitcoin's growth in China but may also drive innovation in other regions.

The Road Ahead: Navigating Uncertainties

To navigate these uncertainties, investors can take the following steps:

- Stay Informed: Keep up-to-date with the latest regulatory developments and government interventions. This includes monitoring legislative changes, regulatory announcements, and geopolitical events.
- Diversify Investments: Spread investments across different cryptocurrencies and asset classes to mitigate risks associated with regulatory changes.
- Comply with Regulations: Ensure compliance with tax reporting and other regulatory requirements to avoid penalties and maintain a positive reputation.
- Monitor Market Sentiment: Pay attention to market sentiment and institutional adoption trends, as these can provide insights into the potential impact of regulatory developments on Bitcoin's price and adoption.

In conclusion, the future of Bitcoin is fraught with uncertainties, but it is also filled with opportunities. By staying informed, diversifying investments, complying with regulations, and monitoring market sentiment, investors can better navigate the complexities of the cryptocurrency market and position themselves for success in the years to come. As we look ahead to 2035, one thing is clear: Bitcoin will continue to be a force to be reckoned with, and its journey will be one of the most fascinating stories in the history of finance.