How did BABA's Q4 2024 earnings surprise the market?
3/28/2025 11:40am
**Alibaba Group's Q4 2024 earnings report reflected a company that continued to navigate challenges while demonstrating resilience in its core business segments.** Here's a detailed analysis of the key aspects that surprised the market:
1. **Revenue and EPS Analysis**:
- Alibaba reported an estimated EPS of $1.42 for Q4 2024, which was slightly below the market's expectation of $1.93.
- The estimated revenue for the quarter was $30.5 billion, slightly below the analyst expectation of $33.17 billion.
2. **Business Segment Performance**:
- Alibaba's Cloud business showed significant acceleration, with public cloud products experiencing double-digit revenue growth and AI-related product revenue delivering triple-digit growth.
- The company's core commerce business continued to invest in user experience and strengthened its product offerings, leading to improved monetization on Taobao and Tmall platforms.
3. **Investment and Strategic Moves**:
- Alibaba's strategic investments in user experience and collaboration with industry peers are expected to drive future growth.
- The company's share repurchase program resulted in a net reduction of 2.1% in total shares outstanding, achieving earnings accretion for shareholders.
4. **Market Reaction and Analysts' Outlook**:
- Despite the earnings miss, Alibaba's shares had fallen by 20.0% in the quarter but gained 17.3% year-to-date.
- The average analyst rating remains "buy," and the consensus 12-month price target is $117.
5. **Institutional Activity**:
- Institutional investors have shown confidence in Alibaba, with significant increases in holdings by firms like Zweig DiMenna Associates LLC and Orion Portfolio Solutions LLC.
- These investments reflect long-term confidence in Alibaba's strategic direction and growth potential.
In conclusion, while Alibaba's Q4 2024 earnings fell slightly short of market expectations, the company's strategic investments in growth areas, coupled with improved profitability in certain segments, suggest a positive outlook. The market's response, including institutional investments, indicates a continued belief in Alibaba's ability to drive future performance and create value for shareholders.