Have a Analysts weighed in on whether borr is expected to beat. What has the market shown for drilling companies this past quarter? Are things improving? Is borr a buy given Trump win?
11/7/2024 01:00am
**Analysts' Expectations for BORR**:
1. **Revenue Expectations**: Analysts expect Borr Drilling (BORR) to report $242 million in revenue for the third quarter of 2024, which represents a 26% year-on-year increase. This is below the market consensus prediction of $250.8 million, indicating some caution among analysts.
2. **Earnings Per Share (EPS) Expectations**: The estimated EPS for Q3 2024 is not available. However, the company's full-year 2024 EPS is predicted to surge 746% to $0.74, suggesting a strong finish to the year.
3. **Sector Performance**: The offshore drilling sector has been challenging for companies like Borr Drilling. While Borr Drilling has reported strong Q2 results with a 16% increase in total revenue and an adjusted EBITDA of $253 million for the year-to-date, which aligns with the company's guidance, the broader sector faces headwinds.
4. **Market Sentiment and Recent Performance**:
- Borr Drilling's stock has experienced significant declines, hitting a 52-week low at $4.68, reflecting bearish sentiment.
- The company's stock price has been under pressure, with shares sliding more than 40% year-to-date, indicating a challenging period for the company.
- Despite the stock's low valuation with a forward P/E ratio of 5.64, suggesting upside potential, the negative market reaction to earnings expectations has overshadowed this.
**Drilling Companies' Performance in Q3 2024**:
1. **Borr Drilling's Performance**: Borr Drilling reported strong Q2 results, but the outlook for Q3 is more cautious, with revenue expectations below market forecasts.
2. **Sector-Wide Performance**: The overall offshore drilling sector has faced challenges, with companies experiencing declines in stock prices and revenue.
3. **Improvement and Outlook**: Despite the headwinds, some analysts remain optimistic about the sector's long-term prospects, citing factors such as a prolonged period of underinvestment and a heightened emphasis on energy security.
**Investment Considerations with Trump's Win**:
1. **Potential Upside**: With a Trump win, there could be increased investment in energy projects, potentially benefiting Borr Drilling and the broader sector.
2. **Oil Price Impact**: Trump's policies could influence oil prices, which directly affect the profitability of drilling companies like Borr Drilling.
3. **Market Perception**: The market may react differently to a Trump win, depending on his administration's approach to energy policies and international relations.
**Conclusion**: Given the mixed analyst expectations, the challenging sector performance, and the potential market reactions to Trump's win, the decision to buy Borr Drilling stock should be approached with caution. While there is potential upside based on low valuations and possible policy shifts, the current market sentiment and recent performance suggest that investors should carefully weigh these factors before making a decision.