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<video src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/3jwE4MmOQwY" poster="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/CandPEpisode 19_bfd9fc501765201875737.jpg" data="{&quot;videoUrl&quot;:&quot;https://www.youtube.com/embed/3jwE4MmOQwY&quot;,&quot;coverUrl&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/CandPEpisode 19_bfd9fc501765201875737.jpg&quot;}"></video>IBM’s <a href="https://www.ibm.com/downloads/documents/us-en/1443d5e0094f4011" target='__blank'>latest move</a> in the AI arms race is a big one: an $11 billion all-cash deal to acquire Confluent, the real-time data streaming specialist that sits right in the plumbing of modern AI and cloud architectures. Under the definitive agreement, IBM will pay $31 per share in cash for all outstanding Confluent stock, implying roughly a 34% premium to Friday’s $23.14 close and valuing the company at an $11 billion enterprise value. Confluent shares are responding as you’d expect, surging close to 30% pre-market, while IBM is trading about 1–2% lower as investors digest the price tag, the integration risk, and what it means for capital allocation over the next couple of years.Confluent’s appeal is straightforward if you think in AI infrastructure terms rather than headline models. The company was founded around Apache Kafka, the open-source standard for “data in motion” that allows enterprises to stream, route, and process events in real time across applications, clouds, and data stores. On top of Kafka, Confluent has built a full data streaming platform—Cloud and self-managed offerings, governance, stream processing, connectors, and newer capabilities like Streaming Agents—that helps customers keep data clean, connected, and policy-compliant as it flows through increasingly complex hybrid environments. For generative and “agentic” AI, where software agents are constantly querying, acting, and updating state, that kind of real-time, governed data fabric is effectively the circulatory system. <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/08/ibm-confluent-deal-data.html" target='__blank'>For IBM</a> , that makes Confluent a tight fit with its hybrid cloud and AI strategy. Management is pitching the deal as creating a “smart data platform for enterprise generative AI,” plugging Confluent’s streaming and event backbone into IBM’s portfolio: Red Hat and hybrid cloud, watsonx and AI infrastructure, automation, and a large consulting organization that already lives inside complex Fortune 500 IT stacks. Confluent brings more than 6,500 customers, including over 40% of the Fortune 500, plus deep integrations with AWS, Azure, Google Cloud, Snowflake, Anthropic, and others—very much in line with IBM’s recent push to be partner-friendly rather than closed and proprietary.The deal terms are clean and aggressive. IBM is paying $31 in cash per share, funded with cash on hand, with no stock component and no mention of incremental debt in the announcement. The $31 price represents roughly a 34% premium to Confluent’s last close and a far higher premium to where the stock traded during the recent AI pullback, which helps explain the board’s enthusiasm. IBM says the transaction will be accretive to adjusted EBITDA within the first full year after closing and accretive to free cash flow in year two—standard M&amp;A language, but it signals they believe Confluent’s growth and gross margins can be scaled efficiently inside IBM’s cost structure.There are also some notable protections and incentives baked in. Confluent has agreed that, in certain termination scenarios, it will pay IBM a $453.6 million breakup fee—a sizable reverse termination fee that discourages shopping the company once the ink is dry. On top of that, shareholders representing about 62% of Confluent’s voting power have already entered voting agreements to support the transaction and vote against alternatives, which substantially reduces deal-execution risk from the shareholder side. The remaining hurdles are regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions, with the companies guiding to a closing by mid-2026.Market reaction, as usual, is split between target and acquirer. Confluent is doing what targets do when a large, mostly-cash premium arrives—spiking nearly to the deal price, with arbitrageurs stepping in to capture the spread versus closing risk and time value. IBM, by contrast, is off modestly pre-market, reflecting a cocktail of near-term FCF dilution, integration risk, and skepticism that big legacy tech can fully monetize bleeding-edge infrastructure assets. That said, IBM has been leaning hard into this playbook: the $6.4 billion HashiCorp deal and the earlier Apptio acquisition were also all-cash moves aimed at bolstering cloud, automation, and FinOps capabilities around an AI-centric narrative.Is this the start of a new wave of AI M&amp;A after the latest correction in high-multiple names? It’s certainly another data point in what’s already been a busy year: Alphabet’s $32 billion agreement for Wiz, Palo Alto Networks’ pursuit of CyberArk, Salesforce’s Informatica deal, and now IBM picking up Confluent on the heels of HashiCorp. The pattern is clear: big platforms are shopping not for model companies, but for infrastructure—security, data streaming, observability, cloud control planes—that makes AI reliable and monetizable in the enterprise. With AI infrastructure stocks having pulled back from their peaks while hyperscaler and GPU capex plans remain massive, the valuation gap between “have” balance sheets and “need” specialist assets is widening in a way that naturally invites deals.For investors, the key questions from here are execution and ecosystem impact. Can IBM preserve Confluent’s innovation pace and cloud-neutral posture while deeply integrating it into watsonx, automation, and consulting offerings? Will regulators take a closer look at data-infrastructure consolidation, even though this is nowhere near the scale of the megacap cloud providers? And does this put a takeover premium under other data-streaming and adjacent infrastructure names, or does IBM’s move effectively remove the most obvious target from the board and cool speculation? What’s clear is that IBM just bet $11 billion that, in the AI era, controlling the real-time data rails will be as important as owning the models themselves—and that’s likely to keep the AI M&amp;A rumor mill humming.

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Confluent Soars, IBM Slips: Inside the $11B AI Deal That Has Traders on Edge

<video src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/3jwE4MmOQwY" poster="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/CandPEpisode 19_9cc7b45f1765149023302.jpg" data="{&quot;videoUrl&quot;:&quot;https://www.youtube.com/embed/3jwE4MmOQwY&quot;,&quot;coverUrl&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/CandPEpisode 19_9cc7b45f1765149023302.jpg&quot;}"></video>The <a href="https://youtu.be/3jwE4MmOQwY?si=TXdv6GB2kMd99KFl" target='__blank'>latest episode</a> <a href="https://www.youtube.com/embed/3jwE4MmOQwY" target='__blank'></a> of AInvest’s flagship podcast, Capital &amp; Power, features a guest who might just be the most interesting CFA in America — Portia Capital Management’s founder and CIO, <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/michellepconnell/" target='__blank'>Michelle Connell</a> . She’s one of the only women in the Dallas–Fort Worth region to own her own registered investment firm, an institutional-grade investor who still teaches finance to college kids, and a private-market insider who evaluates AI deals for a living. She’s also writing a book packed with stories that prove she’s survived every version of Wall Street — from the inspirational to the absurd. In short: this is an episode you don’t want to miss.And yes, she once solved a workplace harassment problem by turning a colleague’s holiday open house into a condom-themed art installation. (“It worked,” she says dryly.) She also once surprised Steve Jobs — or, more accurately, he surprised her — when he strolled into the Pixar IPO meeting in his black turtleneck, pitching the company personally to a room of stunned analysts. Connell was the only one who asked a real question because she was the only one who had actually read the prospectus. These two stories alone justify listening… but the real power of this episode is what Connell says about markets now.Connell’s investing philosophy is what happens when deep institutional experience meets real-world practicality. She still operates in the private markets — including AI, tech, and venture deals — but she applies that same analytical discipline to the portfolios of everyday investors. As she puts it, “Because I can break apart those investments, I can break apart any investment, including publicly traded.” For clients who aren’t eligible for private placements, she builds smart, diversified portfolios using ETFs and active managers who can actually add value. No hype. No shortcuts. Just competence.Her biggest worry heading into 2026? Not the Magnificent Seven. Not Nvidia’s monster run. No — Connell’s radar is aimed at private credit and real estate. “What worries me are the private markets, the credit that we&#39;ve talked about earlier,” she tells host Adam Shapiro, pointing out that she’s already seeing “bleeding around the edges” in areas of the country previously assumed to be insulated. And retirees chasing 12% yields in BDCs? She has one word: leverage — and it’s not a compliment. “At the end of the day, it’s all about cash,” she reminds investors. A simple rule, rarely followed.On the equity side, Connell isn’t calling an AI bubble, but she’s not sugarcoating the narrow leadership either. Even as a longtime semiconductor investor — and someone who owns private AI exposure as well — she thinks many people are blindly chasing the same names without understanding their risk posture. Her take: trim winners, rotate intelligently, and don’t fall in love with a narrative. “Do I think it&#39;s a bubble? No… but I think you can make more money in other places.”One of the episode’s most compelling through-lines is how Connell’s personal history shaped her approach to money. She went from supporting her mother and sister as a teenager — yes, at a McDonald&#39;s that required two bus transfers — to earning an accounting degree, an MBA, and eventually the CFA charter. That perspective fuels her passion for financial literacy and her work with foundations, including one that recently built an 8,000-square-foot youth center. For Connell, markets aren’t an abstract puzzle; they’re a tool that can expand opportunity if used wisely.She’s also refreshingly blunt about AI’s coming disruption. As a private investor in Anthropic, she sides with the people building the technology, not the spectators downplaying it. She expects job displacement, new demands for skilled labor, and a generational shift in what “career” even means. But she also sees enormous growth ahead in biotech, medicine, and industrial innovation. In her view, the next decade will reward investors who pay attention — and punish those who don’t.The episode closes with a warning every 401(k) participant should hear: the push to jam private credit and alternatives into retirement plans could end badly if regulators and fiduciaries don’t get ahead of the risks. “I have a lot of concern there,” she says. And she’s right to. One credit hiccup in a poorly monitored 401(k) sleeve could upend millions of households who never understood what they owned.Funny, sharp, experienced, and unflinchingly honest, Michelle Connell is the rare guest who can make you laugh with a Steve Jobs anecdote and then immediately explain the structural fragilities of private debt markets. That’s what makes this Capital &amp; Power episode so good — and why investors, students, and anyone trying to navigate the AI era should listen.

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AI Investor, Wall Street Rebel: Michelle Connell Says You’re Looking at the Wrong Risk


The AI chatbot market has entered a pivotal phase in 2025, with Google's Gemini and OpenAI's ChatGPT locked in a high-stakes battle for dominance. While ChatGPT has long held the upper hand in user adoption, recent data reveals a seismic shift in momentum favoring Gemini. This analysis examines the evolving dynamics of user engagement, retention, and strategic innovation to assess why Gemini is emerging as a formidable threat-and a compelling investment opportunity. <h3>User Growth: Gemini's Explosive Trajectory</h3>Gemini's user growth has outpaced ChatGPT's in nearly every metric. As of November 2025, <a href="https://www.thebridgechronicle.com/tech/gemini-outpaces-chatgpt-5x-faster-user-growth-mp99">Gemini's global monthly active users (MAUs) grew by 170% year-over-year</a> and surged 30% quarter-over-quarter, driven by the popularity of its Nano Banana image-generation model. In contrast, ChatGPT's MAU growth slowed to a mere 6% in the same period, <a href="https://www.thebridgechronicle.com/tech/gemini-outpaces-chatgpt-5x-faster-user-growth-mp99">despite maintaining a 55% global MAU share</a>. Sensor Tower data further underscores this divergence: <a href="https://theaiinsider.tech/2025/12/08/sensor-tower-data-shows-gemini-gaining-ground-as-chatgpt-growth-slows/">Gemini users now spend 11 minutes per day in the app</a>, a 120% increase from March 2025, compared to ChatGPT's modest 6% rise. This acceleration has not gone unnoticed. <a href="https://indianexpress.com/article/technology/artificial-intelligence/google-gemini-users-chatgpt-data-10408584/">OpenAI CEO Sam Altman recently issued a "code red" directive</a> to prioritize product improvements, signaling growing concern over Gemini's encroachment. Meanwhile, <a href="https://www.thebridgechronicle.com/tech/gemini-outpaces-chatgpt-5x-faster-user-growth-mp99">Gemini's MAU share gained 3 percentage points from May to November 2025</a>, while ChatGPT's share declined by the same margin. <img src="https://cdn.ainvest.com/aigc/hxcmp/images/compress-qwen_generated_1765198285822.jpg.png" style="max-width:100%;"/><h3>Engagement Metrics: Quality Over Quantity</h3>User engagement metrics highlight Gemini's ability to convert growth into sustained interaction. While ChatGPT's average session duration in November 2025 ranged between 7 minutes and 13 minutes and 58 seconds, <a href="https://theaiinsider.tech/2025/12/08/sensor-tower-data-shows-gemini-gaining-ground-as-chatgpt-growth-slows/">Gemini's daily usage of 11 minutes suggests deeper integration</a>. This is particularly significant given that engagement time is a key indicator of platform stickiness. <backtest-component code="GOOGL" id="strategy_001" range="3" market="185"></backtest-component>ChatGPT's engagement remains robust, with <a href="https://www.demandsage.com/chatgpt-statistics/">800 million weekly active users and 2 billion daily queries processed</a> as of December 2025. However, its growth in session duration has plateaued, rising only 6% year-over-year to 6 minutes and 25 seconds in December 2024. <a href="https://elfsight.com/blog/chatgpt-usage-statistics/">Gemini's 120% increase in daily usage</a>, by contrast, reflects a more dynamic user base actively leveraging its multimodal capabilities. <h3>Retention Rates: A Tale of Two Strategies</h3>Retention rates further illustrate the diverging strategies of the two platforms. ChatGPT's subscription tiers demonstrate strong loyalty, particularly among enterprise users. The ChatGPT Plus tier retains 73% of users at the 3-month mark and 64% at 6 months, while the Enterprise tier achieves 95% and 92% retention, respectively. These figures underscore ChatGPT's value proposition for businesses but also reveal a reliance on paid tiers to sustain engagement. Gemini, however, has seen a dramatic improvement in retention. By Q4 2025, <a href="https://x.com/deedydas/status/1985746325993075091">its 3-month retention rate exceeded 90%</a>, up from under 70% in April 2025. This leap is attributed to <a href="https://x.com/deedydas/status/1985746325993075091">the launch of Gemini 2.5 Pro and 1-year free trials for students</a>. Additionally, <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/posts/debarghyadas_geminis-retention-data-is-out-and-it-activity-7391512017091661824-6m6D">Gemini's integration into Google's ecosystem</a>-such as AI mode in Google Search and Google Lens-creates a flywheel effect, driving cross-platform usage and reducing churn. <visualization dataurl="https://cdn.ainvest.com/news/visual/visual_components/viz_olmta02j.json"></visualization><h3>Strategic Implications for Investors</h3>Gemini's rapid growth and retention gains position it as a strategic disruptor in the AI chatbot market. Unlike ChatGPT, which relies on premium subscriptions to monetize its user base, Gemini leverages Google's vast ecosystem to drive organic adoption. This model reduces customer acquisition costs and creates a network effect that could accelerate its dominance. For investors, Gemini represents a high-growth play with several catalysts: 1. Product Innovation: The Nano Banana model and Gemini 2.5 Pro demonstrate Google's commitment to differentiating its AI offerings. 2. Ecosystem Synergy: Integration with Google Search, Lens, and other services ensures sustained user engagement. 3. Market Share Gains: Gemini's 3 percentage point MAU share increase in six months suggests it is capturing users disillusioned with ChatGPT's slowing growth. Conversely, ChatGPT's reliance on paid tiers and its declining MAU share signal potential vulnerabilities. While its enterprise retention is strong, it faces a growing challenge in retaining casual users who are increasingly drawn to Gemini's free, multimodal tools. <h3>Conclusion</h3>The AI chatbot market is at a crossroads. ChatGPT's early lead is being challenged by Gemini's faster growth, superior engagement metrics, and innovative retention strategies. For investors, Gemini's accelerating momentum-backed by concrete data on user growth, session duration, and retention-makes it a compelling high-growth play. As the competition intensifies, the ability to adapt and innovate will determine which platform emerges as the long-term leader.

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Gemini's Accelerating Momentum: A Strategic Threat to ChatGPT and a High-Growth AI Play

As 2025 draws to a close, the MSCI China Index has performed strongly this year, delivering gains that surpassed the U.S., Europe, and Japan.<img data-json="{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;0a9d9250-2f78-49ea-9d24-a077762d5408&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;children&quot;:[{&quot;text&quot;:&quot;&quot;}],&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/d52db1b8-21c9-4015-87f8-9c162c38cec0_-1x-1_22a3bc491765185560004.png&quot;}" src="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/d52db1b8-21c9-4015-87f8-9c162c38cec0_-1x-1_22a3bc491765185560004.png" contentEditable="false" style="display: block; margin: 0 auto; maxWidth: 100%" />Looking ahead to 2026, many global institutions expect China’s bull market to continue. JPMorgan recently upgraded its view on Chinese equities, while BNP Paribas, Fidelity International, and Amundi SA have all expressed support. With concerns over stretched U.S. equity valuations lingering, investors are increasingly seeking diversification—and China stands out as one of the most attractive destinations.China’s economy has shown greater resilience while offering diversified exposure and technological innovation. “For now, I am more inclined to buy Chinese assets on dips,” said George Efstathopoulos, Portfolio Manager at Fidelity International.Jonathan Pines, Head of Asia at Federated Hermes, noted, “In certain technology segments, China is the only real competitor to the United States. And Chinese equities trade at a significant discount to other regions, making valuations highly compelling.”<img data-json="{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;9bb11814-d710-4723-b64d-843cf4384300&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;children&quot;:[{&quot;text&quot;:&quot;&quot;}],&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/6cd33ae1-18d6-4eab-9731-29f885a5dcda_image_2356463b1765185614856.png&quot;}" src="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/6cd33ae1-18d6-4eab-9731-29f885a5dcda_image_2356463b1765185614856.png" contentEditable="false" style="display: block; margin: 0 auto; maxWidth: 100%" />More importantly, foreign investors are backing their views with real capital. According to the Institute of International Finance (IIF), offshore inflows into China’s stock market (excluding U.S.-listed ADRs) reached US$50.6 billion from January to October this year—nearly five times the US$11.4 billion recorded in all of 2024.<img data-json="{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;de4a3412-e970-43ac-b759-b719c14a483e&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;children&quot;:[{&quot;text&quot;:&quot;&quot;}],&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/c3f79d7a-24fd-4576-ad40-d06ff2823b72_screenshots_71fa00dd1765185584834.png&quot;}" src="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/c3f79d7a-24fd-4576-ad40-d06ff2823b72_screenshots_71fa00dd1765185584834.png" contentEditable="false" style="display: block; margin: 0 auto; maxWidth: 100%" />Morgan Stanley data shows that as of November, long-term foreign funds (mainly ETFs) had purchased about US$10 billion worth of A-shares and Hong Kong equities, compared to a net outflow of US$17 billion in 2024. Citi noted that since the reciprocal tariff day in April, 55% of its clients have been net buyers of Chinese equities.Andrew Swan, Head of Asia Equities at Man Group, said: “If reflation is China’s next phase, it contains tremendous opportunity.” Although foreign active funds have still recorded a net outflow of US$15 billion this year, improving confidence suggests a potential reversal into net inflows next year.However, after a strong rally this year, expectations for next year’s returns should be moderated. Nomura forecasts a 9% rise in the MSCI China Index in 2026, while Morgan Stanley expects a 6% gain.Besides foreign buying, the reallocation of household savings within China has also been a major driver of market strength. With deposit interest rates falling and the property market remaining sluggish, the stock market has become the only viable avenue for seeking returns.

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Will China’s Bull Market Extend Into 2026? Smart Money Is Already Positioning

As December deepens, the financial world braces for a confluence of pivotal events that could redefine market trajectories into 2026. From the Federal Reserve&#39;s anticipated rate cut amid internal rifts to high-stakes earnings from tech giants Oracle and Broadcom, the week ahead pulses with uncertainty. Add OpenAI&#39;s hurried counterpunch to Google&#39;s AI dominance and the regulatory minefield surrounding Netflix&#39;s blockbuster bid for Warner Bros., and investors face a landscape ripe for volatility. Jerome Powell&#39;s leadership hangs in the balance, while corporate maneuvers in tech and media test the limits of innovation and consolidation.Central Banks Brace for the Fed&#39;s Lead<img data-json="{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;18f245d0-6225-4db6-ab6f-9c448854351c&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image&quot;,&quot;uploadInfo&quot;:{&quot;needUpload&quot;:true,&quot;file&quot;:{}},&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;children&quot;:[{&quot;text&quot;:&quot;&quot;}]}" src="undefined" contentEditable="false" style="display: block; margin: 0 auto; maxWidth: 100%" />The Federal Reserve&#39;s December meeting looms as the week&#39;s centerpiece, with Chair Jerome Powell poised to deliver a quarter-point rate cut despite mounting dissent within the ranks. Just weeks ago, market odds dipped below 50% for this move, fueled by hawkish commentary and sparse data amid a government shutdown. But sentiment has swung decisively, now exceeding 90% probability, bolstered by signals from New York Fed President John Williams and a tick up in unemployment.Powell&#39;s push comes against a backdrop of division: five voting members expressed reservations after October&#39;s cut, citing persistent inflation. With the latest data stuck in September&#39;s rearview, economists anticipate a pause post-December, resuming with reductions in March and September 2026. Yet, drama simmers—President Trump&#39;s imminent nomination of a successor, with Kevin Hassett as frontrunner, stirs fears of politicized policy that could ignite inflation anew. As one analysis quips, Powell&#39;s hawkish leanings might soon be moot, rendering him a lame duck by February.The European Central Bank, fresh off holding at 2% in October, is likely to stay pat through 2026&#39;s energy-driven undershoot, per Deutsche Bank. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan eyes a potential hike, with government non-interference signaling bolder moves—though 10-year JGB yields at 2007 highs warn of bond market turbulence.Even the Bank of Canada holds steady at 2.25%, deeming it &quot;about right&quot; despite mixed growth signals: robust third-quarter GDP masked by import dips and military spending, while core inflation lingers elevated. Decisions from Australia, Brazil, and others, plus euro-area finance chiefs electing a new chair, round out a week where the Fed&#39;s sneeze could trigger global colds.Earnings Under the Microscope: Oracle and Broadcom<visualization data='{&quot;components&quot;:[{&quot;uuid&quot;:&quot;d6d87e4f5d1a335a&quot;,&quot;config&quot;:{&quot;image&quot;:&quot;https://lh-prod-mid-pub-newsf10.s3.amazonaws.com/logo/ORCL.png&quot;,&quot;marketTag&quot;:&quot;NYSE&quot;,&quot;show_type_id&quot;:702,&quot;tradeClass&quot;:&quot;closed&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;KxxV2&quot;,&quot;fsType&quot;:&quot;closed&quot;,&quot;showBottom&quot;:true,&quot;showCodeContrast&quot;:false,&quot;score&quot;:20,&quot;show_type&quot;:&quot;kline3&quot;,&quot;maLine&quot;:[5,10,30,60],&quot;moduleList&quot;:[],&quot;variety&quot;:&quot;stock&quot;,&quot;scoreRuleNames&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;tradeStatus&quot;:&quot;trading&quot;,&quot;codeName&quot;:&quot;Name&quot;,&quot;klineDefaultType&quot;:&quot;fs&quot;,&quot;title_config&quot;:{&quot;config&quot;:{&quot;display&quot;:true,&quot;display2&quot;:false,&quot;txt_style&quot;:0,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;&quot;},&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;h1&quot;:&quot;ORCL Trend&quot;,&quot;h2&quot;:&quot;&quot;},&quot;show_type&quot;:&quot;title1&quot;}},&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;chunks_info&quot;:&quot;[]&quot;,&quot;code_count&quot;:1,&quot;columns&quot;:[{&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;market_code&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;market_code&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;market_code&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;STR&quot;},{&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;code&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;code&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;hq_code&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:&quot;fixed_index&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;STR&quot;},{&quot;domain&quot;:&quot;abs_xxxxxx&quot;,&quot;feKey&quot;:&quot;Ticker&quot;,&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;Ticker&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;Ticker&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;code&quot;,&quot;origin_index&quot;:&quot;stock code&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:&quot;fixed_index&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;STR&quot;,&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;&quot;},{&quot;domain&quot;:&quot;abs_xxxxxx&quot;,&quot;feKey&quot;:&quot;Name&quot;,&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;Name&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;Name&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;name&quot;,&quot;origin_index&quot;:&quot;stock name&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:&quot;fixed_index&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;STR&quot;,&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;&quot;},{&quot;feKey&quot;:&quot;Date&quot;,&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;Date&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;Date&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;date&quot;,&quot;origin_index&quot;:&quot;Date&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;DATE&quot;},{&quot;domain&quot;:&quot;abs_xxxxxx&quot;,&quot;feKey&quot;:&quot;Closing Price&quot;,&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;xxxx@Closing Price&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;Closing Price&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;NoIndent&quot;,&quot;report_type&quot;:&quot;TRADE_DAILY&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;timestamp&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;DOUBLE&quot;,&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;USD&quot;}],&quot;condition&quot;:&quot;[{\&quot;sonSize\&quot;:2,\&quot;opName\&quot;:\&quot;and\&quot;,\&quot;relatedSize\&quot;:0},{\&quot;sonSize\&quot;:0,\&quot;indexName\&quot;:\&quot;xxxx@stock code\&quot;,\&quot;indexProperties\&quot;:[\&quot;EQUAL ORCL.N\&quot;],\&quot;indexPropertiesMap\&quot;:{\&quot;EQUAL\&quot;:\&quot;ORCL.N\&quot;},\&quot;domain\&quot;:\&quot;abs_xxxxxx\&quot;,\&quot;relatedSize\&quot;:0},{\&quot;sonSize\&quot;:0,\&quot;indexName\&quot;:\&quot;xxxx@Closing Price\&quot;,\&quot;indexProperties\&quot;:[\&quot;xxxxxx 20251205\&quot;,\&quot;xxxxxx 20251205\&quot;],\&quot;indexPropertiesMap\&quot;:{\&quot;xxxxxx\&quot;:\&quot;20251205\&quot;,\&quot;xxxxxx\&quot;:\&quot;20251205\&quot;},\&quot;domain\&quot;:\&quot;abs_xxxxxx\&quot;,\&quot;relatedSize\&quot;:0}]&quot;,&quot;dataSize&quot;:1,&quot;datas&quot;:[{&quot;code&quot;:&quot;ORCL&quot;,&quot;Ticker&quot;:&quot;ORCL.N&quot;,&quot;market_code&quot;:&quot;169&quot;,&quot;Closing Price&quot;:217.58,&quot;Date&quot;:&quot;20251205&quot;,&quot;Name&quot;:&quot;Oracle&quot;}],&quot;meta&quot;:{&quot;extra&quot;:{}},&quot;row_count&quot;:1,&quot;status_code&quot;:0,&quot;status_msg&quot;:&quot;ok&quot;},&quot;category&quot;:&quot;generic&quot;,&quot;chart_type&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;show_type&quot;:&quot;jgyKline3&quot;,&quot;title_config&quot;:{&quot;config&quot;:{&quot;display&quot;:true,&quot;display2&quot;:false,&quot;txt_style&quot;:0,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;&quot;},&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;h1&quot;:&quot;ORCL Trend&quot;,&quot;h2&quot;:&quot;&quot;},&quot;show_type&quot;:&quot;title1&quot;},&quot;support_refresh&quot;:false,&quot;data_config&quot;:{&quot;data_ext_params&quot;:{},&quot;query_type&quot;:&quot;intusstock&quot;}}],&quot;global&quot;:{&quot;query_type&quot;:&quot;intusstock&quot;},&quot;page&quot;:{&quot;language&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;layout&quot;:{&quot;layout_data&quot;:&quot;[{\&quot;showType\&quot;:\&quot;jgyKline3\&quot;,\&quot;uuid\&quot;:\&quot;d6d87e4f5d1a335a\&quot;}]&quot;},&quot;render_for&quot;:&quot;aigc&quot;},&quot;query_condition&quot;:{},&quot;data_config&quot;:{&quot;data_ext_params&quot;:{},&quot;query_type&quot;:&quot;intusstock&quot;}}' dataurl='undefined'></visualization>Tech earnings inject adrenaline, starting with Oracle&#39;s fiscal Q2 results on December 10. Shares, up 30% year-to-date despite a post-September pullback, reflect booming cloud demand—but debt-fueled AI ambitions loom large. The $300 billion OpenAI partnership draws scrutiny: will the AI upstart deliver on its backlog commitments?Expectations peg EPS at $1.64, up from $1.47, with sales climbing 15% to $16.19 billion. Oracle&#39;s track record is spotty—beating earnings in half of the last eight quarters but missing sales in six. Technically, the stock hovers at 220, eyeing a breakout above to target 258; a dip below 185 could signal deeper lows.<visualization data='{&quot;components&quot;:[{&quot;uuid&quot;:&quot;17380123da2c825&quot;,&quot;config&quot;:{&quot;image&quot;:&quot;https://lh-prod-mid-pub-newsf10.s3.amazonaws.com/logo/AVGO.png&quot;,&quot;marketTag&quot;:&quot;NASDAQ&quot;,&quot;show_type_id&quot;:702,&quot;tradeClass&quot;:&quot;closed&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;KxxV2&quot;,&quot;fsType&quot;:&quot;closed&quot;,&quot;showBottom&quot;:true,&quot;showCodeContrast&quot;:false,&quot;score&quot;:20,&quot;show_type&quot;:&quot;kline3&quot;,&quot;maLine&quot;:[5,10,30,60],&quot;moduleList&quot;:[],&quot;variety&quot;:&quot;stock&quot;,&quot;scoreRuleNames&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;tradeStatus&quot;:&quot;trading&quot;,&quot;codeName&quot;:&quot;Name&quot;,&quot;klineDefaultType&quot;:&quot;fs&quot;,&quot;title_config&quot;:{&quot;config&quot;:{&quot;display&quot;:true,&quot;display2&quot;:false,&quot;txt_style&quot;:0,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;&quot;},&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;h1&quot;:&quot;AVGO Trend&quot;,&quot;h2&quot;:&quot;&quot;},&quot;show_type&quot;:&quot;title1&quot;}},&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;chunks_info&quot;:&quot;[]&quot;,&quot;code_count&quot;:1,&quot;columns&quot;:[{&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;market_code&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;market_code&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;market_code&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;STR&quot;},{&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;code&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;code&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;hq_code&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:&quot;fixed_index&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;STR&quot;},{&quot;domain&quot;:&quot;abs_xxxxxx&quot;,&quot;feKey&quot;:&quot;Ticker&quot;,&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;Ticker&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;Ticker&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;code&quot;,&quot;origin_index&quot;:&quot;stock code&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:&quot;fixed_index&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;STR&quot;,&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;&quot;},{&quot;domain&quot;:&quot;abs_xxxxxx&quot;,&quot;feKey&quot;:&quot;Name&quot;,&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;Name&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;Name&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;name&quot;,&quot;origin_index&quot;:&quot;stock name&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:&quot;fixed_index&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;STR&quot;,&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;&quot;},{&quot;feKey&quot;:&quot;Date&quot;,&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;Date&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;Date&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;date&quot;,&quot;origin_index&quot;:&quot;Date&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;DATE&quot;},{&quot;domain&quot;:&quot;abs_xxxxxx&quot;,&quot;feKey&quot;:&quot;Closing Price&quot;,&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;xxxx@Closing Price&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;Closing Price&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;NoIndent&quot;,&quot;report_type&quot;:&quot;TRADE_DAILY&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;timestamp&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;DOUBLE&quot;,&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;USD&quot;}],&quot;condition&quot;:&quot;[{\&quot;sonSize\&quot;:2,\&quot;opName\&quot;:\&quot;and\&quot;,\&quot;relatedSize\&quot;:0},{\&quot;sonSize\&quot;:0,\&quot;indexName\&quot;:\&quot;xxxx@stock code\&quot;,\&quot;indexProperties\&quot;:[\&quot;EQUAL AVGO.O\&quot;],\&quot;indexPropertiesMap\&quot;:{\&quot;EQUAL\&quot;:\&quot;AVGO.O\&quot;},\&quot;domain\&quot;:\&quot;abs_xxxxxx\&quot;,\&quot;relatedSize\&quot;:0},{\&quot;sonSize\&quot;:0,\&quot;indexName\&quot;:\&quot;xxxx@Closing Price\&quot;,\&quot;indexProperties\&quot;:[\&quot;xxxxxx 20251204\&quot;,\&quot;xxxxxx 20251204\&quot;],\&quot;indexPropertiesMap\&quot;:{\&quot;xxxxxx\&quot;:\&quot;20251204\&quot;,\&quot;xxxxxx\&quot;:\&quot;20251204\&quot;},\&quot;domain\&quot;:\&quot;abs_xxxxxx\&quot;,\&quot;relatedSize\&quot;:0}]&quot;,&quot;dataSize&quot;:1,&quot;datas&quot;:[{&quot;code&quot;:&quot;AVGO&quot;,&quot;Ticker&quot;:&quot;AVGO.O&quot;,&quot;market_code&quot;:&quot;185&quot;,&quot;Closing Price&quot;:381.03,&quot;Date&quot;:&quot;20251204&quot;,&quot;Name&quot;:&quot;Broadcom&quot;}],&quot;meta&quot;:{&quot;extra&quot;:{}},&quot;row_count&quot;:1,&quot;status_code&quot;:0,&quot;status_msg&quot;:&quot;ok&quot;},&quot;category&quot;:&quot;generic&quot;,&quot;chart_type&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;show_type&quot;:&quot;jgyKline3&quot;,&quot;title_config&quot;:{&quot;config&quot;:{&quot;display&quot;:true,&quot;display2&quot;:false,&quot;txt_style&quot;:0,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;&quot;},&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;h1&quot;:&quot;AVGO Trend&quot;,&quot;h2&quot;:&quot;&quot;},&quot;show_type&quot;:&quot;title1&quot;},&quot;support_refresh&quot;:false,&quot;data_config&quot;:{&quot;data_ext_params&quot;:{},&quot;query_type&quot;:&quot;intusstock&quot;}}],&quot;global&quot;:{&quot;query_type&quot;:&quot;intusstock&quot;},&quot;page&quot;:{&quot;language&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;layout&quot;:{&quot;layout_data&quot;:&quot;[{\&quot;showType\&quot;:\&quot;jgyKline3\&quot;,\&quot;uuid\&quot;:\&quot;17380123da2c825\&quot;}]&quot;},&quot;render_for&quot;:&quot;aigc&quot;},&quot;query_condition&quot;:{},&quot;data_config&quot;:{&quot;data_ext_params&quot;:{},&quot;query_type&quot;:&quot;intusstock&quot;}}' dataurl='undefined'></visualization>Broadcom follows on December 11, riding AI infrastructure waves. Q4 forecasts: EPS of $1.87 (up 31.7%) on $17.5 billion revenue (up 24.5%). Citi and Goldman Sachs predict beats, crediting Google&#39;s Gemini 3 success—Broadcom&#39;s TPUs outshone Nvidia&#39;s Blackwell in training. Guidance around $18.4 billion and 76% margins will be pivotal.After Q3&#39;s beat ($1.69 EPS on $15.95 billion), shares hit 403 highs before settling at 372 support. An RSI above 50 supports bulls aiming for 450-500; a break below 330 risks a trend reversal. With AI concerns easing, these reports could propel tech&#39;s rebound.OpenAI&#39;s &#39;Code Red&#39; Counterstrike<img data-json="{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;087c41c6-0191-4ff7-bb9a-9c6bc9723487&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;children&quot;:[{&quot;text&quot;:&quot;&quot;}],&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/0d049791-a33f-4ca5-a335-5f17312ce3f6_image_1361523f1765154870009.png&quot;}" src="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/0d049791-a33f-4ca5-a335-5f17312ce3f6_image_1361523f1765154870009.png" contentEditable="false" style="display: block; margin: 0 auto; maxWidth: 100%" />In the AI arena, OpenAI accelerates its response to Google&#39;s Gemini 3, which vaulted to leaderboard tops and impressed rivals like Sam Altman and Elon Musk. Altman&#39;s &quot;code red&quot; directive has fast-tracked GPT-5.2, slated for release as early as December 9—originally eyed for later in the month.Internal evaluations position GPT-5.2 ahead of Gemini 3, aiming to reclaim ground lost in last month&#39;s showdown. This isn&#39;t just a model upgrade; it&#39;s the vanguard of broader ChatGPT enhancements focusing on speed, reliability, and customizability. Development hiccups or rival leaks could delay, but the urgency underscores a heating arms race, with implications for tech valuations and innovation paces.The Netflix-Warner Bros. Saga Unfolds<img data-json="{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;67c2f12a-a0ea-4397-89f6-94be06537272&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;children&quot;:[{&quot;text&quot;:&quot;&quot;}],&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/0d61eeea-df03-4a2b-9bad-60fe8d0f28b9_image_2a45b7e51765154804065.png&quot;}" src="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/0d61eeea-df03-4a2b-9bad-60fe8d0f28b9_image_2a45b7e51765154804065.png" contentEditable="false" style="display: block; margin: 0 auto; maxWidth: 100%" />Finally, Netflix&#39;s $72 billion grab for Warner Bros. and HBO Max—trumping bids from Paramount Skydance and Comcast—ignites media consolidation debates. Uniting 300 million Netflix subscribers with HBO&#39;s 128 million catapults the streamer to 56% of global mobile app users, per Sensor Tower, cementing dominance.Yet, regulatory hurdles loom large. The deal, eyed for closure in 12-18 months post-spin-off of Warner&#39;s cable assets like CNN, faces &quot;heavy skepticism&quot; from the Trump administration. Lawmakers like Elizabeth Warren decry an &quot;anti-monopoly nightmare,&quot; fearing higher prices, fewer choices, and job risks. Netflix touts pro-consumer benefits, pledging a $5.8 billion breakup fee if blocked.Analysts at Deutsche Bank and William Blair see paths to approval, hinging on market definitions: narrow streaming views raise flags, but broadening to include cable, broadcast, and YouTube dilutes concerns. Paramount&#39;s hostile overtures and Trump&#39;s ties to bidder Larry Ellison add political intrigue, echoing past mergers mired in favoritism probes.This acquisition amplifies Netflix&#39;s power, blending franchises like Harry Potter and Game of Thrones with Stranger Things, while absorbing TNT Sports abroad. Prices could rise with dominance or fall via bundling; HBO&#39;s brand likely endures. For Hollywood, it&#39;s a stark pivot to &quot;all-streaming,&quot; sidelining cinema&#39;s legacy amid AI threats and production slumps—drawing ire from figures like James Cameron.As these threads converge, the week promises clarity on rates, tech resilience, AI frontiers, and media empires. Investors, buckle up: Powell&#39;s cut may soothe, but dissent, earnings surprises, and deal dramas could jolt markets anew.

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