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<ul><li>Meta Platforms, formerly Facebook, has transformed from a social networking site into a tech giant encompassing social media, virtual reality, and e-commerce, with its stock (META) showing significant growth since its 2012 IPO, reaching highs in 2024.</li><li>The company&#39;s Marketplace feature revolutionized local buying and selling, competing with platforms like Craigslist by leveraging Facebook&#39;s vast user base for seamless transactions.</li><li>Recent shifts indicate Meta is reducing focus on the metaverse to prioritize AI-driven wearables like smart glasses, potentially impacting stock volatility but aligning with investor preferences for profitable ventures.</li><li>Investing in META stock involves opportunities in tech innovation but carries risks like regulatory scrutiny and market competition; new investors should monitor earnings reports and diversify portfolios.</li><li>Facebook Marketplace offers low-barrier entry for users to buy/sell locally, but success requires vigilance against scams and CCunderstanding platform policies.</li></ul>Meta Platforms Inc., the parent company of Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and more, stands as a cornerstone of the digital age. Founded in 2004 by Mark Zuckerberg and his Harvard roommates, the company initially launched as &quot;Thefacebook&quot; for college students before expanding globally. <img data-json="{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/6541654165_f5cd532d1764900028661.jpg&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;children&quot;:[{&quot;text&quot;:&quot;&quot;}],&quot;align&quot;:&quot;center&quot;}" src="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/6541654165_f5cd532d1764900028661.jpg" contentEditable="false" style="display: block; margin: 0 auto; maxWidth: 100%" />By 2012, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meta_Platforms" target='__blank'>according to Wikipedia</a>, it went public with an initial public offering (IPO) that valued it at over $100 billion, marking one of the largest tech IPOs in history. Its rebranding to Meta in 2021 reflected a pivot toward the &quot;metaverse,&quot; a virtual reality ecosystem envisioned as the future of social interaction, work, and commerce. The company&#39;s stock, traded under the ticker META on NASDAQ, has experienced dramatic fluctuations. Post-IPO, shares dipped below $20 amid mobile advertising concerns but rebounded strongly, surpassing $500 by 2024 amid AI advancements and ad revenue growth. As of late 2025, META&#39;s price hovers around $661, with year-to-date gains of about 13%, driven by resilient advertising business despite economic headwinds. Analysts often highlight its strong fundamentals, including a market cap nearing $1.7 trillion and consistent revenue from digital ads.<visualization data='{&quot;components&quot;:[{&quot;uuid&quot;:&quot;4cbb5d5a20d85df3&quot;,&quot;config&quot;:{&quot;image&quot;:&quot;https://lh-prod-mid-pub-newsf10.s3.amazonaws.com/logo/META.png&quot;,&quot;marketTag&quot;:&quot;NASDAQ&quot;,&quot;show_type_id&quot;:702,&quot;tradeClass&quot;:&quot;closed&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;KxxV2&quot;,&quot;fsType&quot;:&quot;closed&quot;,&quot;showBottom&quot;:true,&quot;showCodeContrast&quot;:false,&quot;score&quot;:20,&quot;show_type&quot;:&quot;kline3&quot;,&quot;maLine&quot;:[5,10,30,60],&quot;moduleList&quot;:[],&quot;variety&quot;:&quot;stock&quot;,&quot;scoreRuleNames&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;tradeStatus&quot;:&quot;trading&quot;,&quot;codeName&quot;:&quot;Name&quot;,&quot;klineDefaultType&quot;:&quot;fs&quot;,&quot;title_config&quot;:{&quot;config&quot;:{&quot;display&quot;:true,&quot;display2&quot;:false,&quot;txt_style&quot;:0,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;&quot;},&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;h1&quot;:&quot;META Trend&quot;,&quot;h2&quot;:&quot;&quot;},&quot;show_type&quot;:&quot;title1&quot;}},&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;chunks_info&quot;:&quot;[]&quot;,&quot;code_count&quot;:1,&quot;columns&quot;:[{&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;market_code&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;market_code&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;market_code&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;STR&quot;},{&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;code&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;code&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;hq_code&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:&quot;fixed_index&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;STR&quot;},{&quot;domain&quot;:&quot;abs_xxxxxx&quot;,&quot;feKey&quot;:&quot;Ticker&quot;,&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;Ticker&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;Ticker&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;code&quot;,&quot;origin_index&quot;:&quot;stock code&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:&quot;fixed_index&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;STR&quot;,&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;&quot;},{&quot;domain&quot;:&quot;abs_xxxxxx&quot;,&quot;feKey&quot;:&quot;Name&quot;,&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;Name&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;Name&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;name&quot;,&quot;origin_index&quot;:&quot;stock name&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:&quot;fixed_index&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;STR&quot;,&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;&quot;},{&quot;feKey&quot;:&quot;Date&quot;,&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;Date&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;Date&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;date&quot;,&quot;origin_index&quot;:&quot;Date&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;DATE&quot;},{&quot;domain&quot;:&quot;abs_xxxxxx&quot;,&quot;feKey&quot;:&quot;Closing Price&quot;,&quot;index_name&quot;:&quot;xxxx@Closing Price&quot;,&quot;key&quot;:&quot;Closing Price&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;NoIndent&quot;,&quot;report_type&quot;:&quot;TRADE_DAILY&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;timestamp&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;DOUBLE&quot;,&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;USD&quot;}],&quot;condition&quot;:&quot;[{\&quot;sonSize\&quot;:2,\&quot;opName\&quot;:\&quot;and\&quot;,\&quot;relatedSize\&quot;:0},{\&quot;sonSize\&quot;:0,\&quot;indexName\&quot;:\&quot;xxxx@stock code\&quot;,\&quot;indexProperties\&quot;:[\&quot;EQUAL META.O\&quot;],\&quot;indexPropertiesMap\&quot;:{\&quot;EQUAL\&quot;:\&quot;META.O\&quot;},\&quot;domain\&quot;:\&quot;abs_xxxxxx\&quot;,\&quot;relatedSize\&quot;:0},{\&quot;sonSize\&quot;:0,\&quot;indexName\&quot;:\&quot;xxxx@Closing Price\&quot;,\&quot;indexProperties\&quot;:[\&quot;xxxxxx 20251204\&quot;,\&quot;xxxxxx 20251204\&quot;],\&quot;indexPropertiesMap\&quot;:{\&quot;xxxxxx\&quot;:\&quot;20251204\&quot;,\&quot;xxxxxx\&quot;:\&quot;20251204\&quot;},\&quot;domain\&quot;:\&quot;abs_xxxxxx\&quot;,\&quot;relatedSize\&quot;:0}]&quot;,&quot;dataSize&quot;:1,&quot;datas&quot;:[{&quot;code&quot;:&quot;META&quot;,&quot;Ticker&quot;:&quot;META.O&quot;,&quot;market_code&quot;:&quot;185&quot;,&quot;Closing Price&quot;:&quot;661.53&quot;,&quot;Date&quot;:&quot;20251204&quot;,&quot;Name&quot;:&quot;Meta&quot;}],&quot;meta&quot;:{&quot;extra&quot;:{}},&quot;row_count&quot;:1,&quot;status_code&quot;:0,&quot;status_msg&quot;:&quot;ok&quot;},&quot;category&quot;:&quot;generic&quot;,&quot;chart_type&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;show_type&quot;:&quot;jgyKline3&quot;,&quot;title_config&quot;:{&quot;config&quot;:{&quot;display&quot;:true,&quot;display2&quot;:false,&quot;txt_style&quot;:0,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;&quot;},&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;h1&quot;:&quot;META Trend&quot;,&quot;h2&quot;:&quot;&quot;},&quot;show_type&quot;:&quot;title1&quot;},&quot;support_refresh&quot;:false,&quot;data_config&quot;:{&quot;data_ext_params&quot;:{},&quot;query_type&quot;:&quot;intusstock&quot;}}],&quot;global&quot;:{&quot;query_type&quot;:&quot;intusstock&quot;},&quot;page&quot;:{&quot;language&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;layout&quot;:{&quot;layout_data&quot;:&quot;[{\&quot;showType\&quot;:\&quot;jgyKline3\&quot;,\&quot;uuid\&quot;:\&quot;4cbb5d5a20d85df3\&quot;}]&quot;},&quot;render_for&quot;:&quot;aigc&quot;},&quot;query_condition&quot;:{},&quot;data_config&quot;:{&quot;data_ext_params&quot;:{},&quot;query_type&quot;:&quot;intusstock&quot;}}' dataurl='undefined'></visualization>One of Meta&#39;s standout features is Facebook Marketplace, launched in 2016 as a free platform for users to buy and sell items locally. It integrates seamlessly with Facebook&#39;s social graph, allowing buyers to view sellers&#39; profiles for added trust, and supports categories like vehicles, housing, and electronics. Unlike traditional e-commerce sites, <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/technology/facebook-launches-marketplace-for-local-buying-and-selling-idUSKCN1231A4/" target='__blank'>according to Reuters</a>, Marketplace emphasizes community-driven transactions, with features like location-based searches and messaging for negotiations. It has grown into a &quot;wild west&quot; of e-commerce, rivaling Craigslist by enabling quick, informal deals while incorporating delivery partnerships like DoorDash for convenience. In recent developments, <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-04/meta-s-zuckerberg-plans-deep-cuts-for-metaverse-efforts" target='__blank'>Bloomberg reports that</a> Meta is scaling back its metaverse ambitions, which once consumed billions in investments. CEO Mark Zuckerberg, who rebranded the company around this vision in 2021, is now proposing cuts up to 30% in the metaverse group for 2026, potentially including layoffs. This shift redirects resources from virtual worlds like Horizon Worlds and Quest VR to AI glasses and wearables within the Reality Labs division, which has incurred over $70 billion in losses since 2021. Investors have welcomed the news, with shares rising 3-4% on reports, as it addresses concerns over resource drains and refocuses on profitable AI initiatives. Meta&#39;s evolution underscores its adaptability in a competitive tech landscape, balancing innovation with shareholder value. While the metaverse dream fades in priority, the core social and marketplace ecosystems remain robust, positioning the company for sustained growth.FAQHow can I start investing in Meta stock as a beginner?To buy META shares, open a brokerage account with platforms like Robinhood or Vanguard. Deposit funds, search for &quot;META,&quot; and place a market or limit order. Start small, perhaps with fractional shares, and track quarterly earnings on Reuters for informed decisions. ()What opportunities exist in Meta&#39;s stock during market rallies?Look for entry points after dips, like post-earnings corrections, using tools like TradingView charts to identify support levels. Positive news on AI or ad growth can spark rallies—set alerts on Bloomberg for updates. Diversify with ETFs holding META to capture broader tech gains.What risks should I watch for when trading on Facebook Marketplace?<a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/facebook-marketplace-the-wild-west-of-e-commerce-11565947821" target='__blank'>According to WSJ</a>, Scams are common; verify sellers via profiles and meet in public for in-person deals. () Avoid wiring money—use cash or protected payment methods. Platform policies ban certain items like firearms, so check guidelines to prevent account bans. How might Meta&#39;s shift from metaverse affect my investment?Reduced metaverse spending could lower losses and boost profitability, potentially lifting stock prices as seen in recent surges. However, if AI wearables underperform, volatility may increase—monitor WSJ for analyst insights. Balance with long-term holds if you believe in Meta&#39;s ad dominance.What&#39;s a simple way to use Facebook Marketplace for profit?List items with clear photos and competitive prices, using keywords for visibility. Flip free or low-cost finds from local groups, but factor in time and shipping risks. Aim for niches like electronics to build repeat buyers.

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Meta to Cut 30% of Its Metaverse Budget: What This Means for Investors

Next week&#39;s Federal Reserve Summary of Economic Projections may be flawed! 👇<video src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/yUiJbRIdsus" poster="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/Fed Flying Blind_c369614b1764876342843.jpg" data="{&quot;videoUrl&quot;:&quot;https://www.youtube.com/embed/yUiJbRIdsus&quot;,&quot;coverUrl&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/Fed Flying Blind_c369614b1764876342843.jpg&quot;}"></video>U.S. stocks finished Thursday mixed after a historic midday inflation release delivered few surprises and reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next week. At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 31.56 points, or 0.07%, to 47,851.3, while the S&amp;P 500 added 0.11% to 6,857.11. The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.22% to 23,505.1, and the Russell 2000 outperformed with a 0.89% gain to 251.85.The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index, hit markets at 10:00 a.m. ET, marking the first time the release <a href="https://www.ainvest.com/news/pce-preview-rare-mid-day-inflation-shock-jolt-markets-shape-fed-december-message-2512/" target='__blank'>occurred during active trading.</a> Economists had expected an uneventful print that continued the slow disinflation trend seen throughout 2024–2025, and the report broadly aligned with those expectations, helping temper market volatility after an initial flurry of algorithmic trading. According to the preview of the release, core PCE was projected at 2.9% year-over-year, with personal spending cooling to 0.4%. The report also arrived against a backdrop of open disagreement among Federal Reserve officials. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan previously warned that “PCE inflation will end the year around 2.9%,” which she viewed as insufficient progress, while Governor Chris Waller countered that “excluding temporary effects, PCE inflation is running 2.5%…I still advocate cutting rates in December.” Those remarks shaped traders’ expectations heading into Thursday, and the largely inline data strengthened the doves’ argument for an imminent rate cut. Bond markets continued to <a href="https://www.horizoninvestments.com/december-rate-cut-seems-all-but-assured/" target='__blank'>price in a near-certain policy shift.</a> As noted by Zachary Hill, Head of Portfolio Management at Horizon Investments, expectations for a December rate cut had “plummeted…to less than 30% by mid-November” following the six-week government shutdown and mixed messaging from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. But Hill emphasized that “the odds of a rate cut are back above 90%—which means that during the December 10 Fed meeting, the federal funds rate should be ranging between 3.50% and 3.75%.” The reaffirmation of cooling price pressures in Thursday’s PCE data helped solidify that view. Commodities and crypto offered mixed signals. Crude oil rose 1.34% to $59.74, and gold futures edged up 0.16% to $4,239.30. Bitcoin fell 0.94% to $92,195.55, while equity volatility eased, with the CBOE VIX closing at 15.99, down 0.56%.Labor-market indicators added nuance to the macro landscape. Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas reported that “layoff announcements… <a href="https://www.challengergray.com/blog/challenger-report-71321-job-cuts-on-restructurings-closings-economy/" target='__blank'>climbed 24%</a> in November” compared with a year earlier, bringing total announced cuts to more than 1.17 million so far this year—levels last seen during the 2020 pandemic. Despite heightened public focus on automation, AI-related reductions remained modest, accounting for “6,280 November cuts” and “54,694 so far this year.” Tariff-related cuts tied to the Trump administration reached 7,908 year-to-date. Corporate news added to the day’s mixed tone. Snowflake shares continued to digest the fallout from this week’s post-earnings drop, despite <a href="https://www.ainvest.com/news/ai-momentum-soars-snowflake-stock-tanks-break-level-trader-watching-2512/" target='__blank'>AI-driven momentum.</a> The company posted 29% product revenue growth and achieved a $100 million AI run-rate, but investors questioned whether such results supported a premium valuation after an 11% slide. Analysts at Jefferies, BofA, Citi, and KeyBanc pointed to accelerating bookings and rising AI adoption but acknowledged that sentiment may remain fragile until growth reaccelerates. With Thursday’s PCE release now behind them, traders shifted their attention firmly to next week’s Fed meeting. The inline inflation reading reduced the probability of last-minute surprises, but policy makers remain divided, and the meeting’s guidance for 2026 could prove more consequential than the widely expected rate cut itself.

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Stocks Steady After Midday PCE Report Confirms Cooling Inflation Ahead of Expected Fed Cut

The Federal Reserve faces a delicate balancing act in late 2025, as mixed labor market data and stubbornly high inflation expectations test its ability to navigate a path toward rate cuts without reigniting price pressures. With the unemployment rate hovering near four-year highs and wage growth moderating, the Fed's policy calculus is increasingly influenced by a labor market that is softening but still resilient. Meanwhile, inflation expectations remain elevated, complicating the central bank's efforts to engineer a "soft landing." For investors, the interplay between these forces is reshaping equity and fixed-income strategies, as markets price in a near-certainty of rate cuts while remaining wary of inflation's persistence. <h3>Mixed Labor Market Signals: A Tapering Engine of Growth</h3>The U.S. labor market has shown signs of deceleration, with <a href="https://www.bls.gov/news/release/empsit.nr0.htm">the unemployment rate rising to 4.4% in September 2025</a>, a level not seen since 2021. While nonfarm payrolls added 119,000 jobs in September, driven by healthcare and food services, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/dec/03/us-private-payroll-jobs-decline-november">the October data was lost to a federal government shutdown</a>, and <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/dec/03/us-private-payroll-jobs-decline-november">November's ADP private payroll report revealed a sharp 32,000-job decline</a>. These developments underscore a labor market that is no longer expanding at pre-pandemic rates but remains far from a crisis. <a href="https://www.chicagofed.org/research/data/chicago-fed-labor-market-indicators/latest-release">The Chicago Fed's real-time labor market indicators suggest</a> the unemployment rate could reach 4.44% by November 2025, with hiring rates for unemployed workers still above historical averages. <img src="https://cdn.ainvest.com/aigc/hxcmp/images/compress-qwen_generated_1764893133640.jpg.png" style="max-width:100%;"/> The Federal Reserve has acknowledged this softening, noting in its September 2025 policy statement that "job gains have slowed and the unemployment rate has edged up" <a href="https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/fixed-income-outlook">according to the Fed's policy statement</a>. However, the Fed's caution is evident: <a href="https://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents/news/research/2025/20251107">despite rising unemployment expectations</a> and a decline in hiring rates, the labor market remains "historically tight," with the unemployment rate still below 4.5%. This duality-between a cooling labor market and persistent slack-has left the Fed in a policy limbo, where rate cuts are seen as necessary to avert a recession but risk fueling inflation if implemented too aggressively. <h3>Inflation Expectations: A Lingering Threat</h3>While headline inflation has moderated from its 2023 peak, <a href="https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/fixed-income-outlook">core PCE inflation remains stubbornly above</a> the Fed's 2% target, averaging 3.1% in 2025. The September FOMC projections anticipate a gradual decline to 2.0% by 2028, but the path is far from certain. <a href="https://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/real-time-data-research/spf-q4-2025">The Philadelphia Fed's Fourth Quarter 2025 Survey of Professional Forecasters highlights</a> a median 10-year annual-average headline CPI inflation expectation of 2.38%, up from 2.31% in the prior survey. Meanwhile, <a href="https://www.tdsecurities.com/ca/en/global-strategy-outlook-2026">the New York Fed's October 2025 Survey of Consumer Expectations shows</a> median one-year-ahead inflation expectations at 3.2%, a modest decline but still well above the central bank's target. The Fed's challenge lies in the risk of de-anchoring inflation expectations. <a href="https://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents/news/research/2025/20251107">A Boston Fed analysis notes</a> that a portion of the recent surge in inflation expectations cannot be explained by observable price trends, raising concerns about a self-fulfilling spiral. This dynamic complicates the Fed's rate-cutting calculus: while lower rates could stimulate growth, they might also erode confidence in the central bank's ability to rein in inflation, potentially necessitating a reversal of policy. <h3>Market Positioning: Rate Cuts and the Search for Yield</h3>The market's anticipation of rate cuts has already reshaped asset valuations. <a href="https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/fixed-income-outlook">Treasury yields, particularly at the short end of the curve, have fallen</a> by 20–40 basis points since late 2025, steepening the yield curve as investors price in multiple 25-basis-point cuts by year-end 2026. <a href="https://www.blackrock.com/us/financial-professionals/insights/fed-rate-cuts-and-potential-portfolio-implications">Fixed-income investors are pivoting toward high-quality, intermediate-term bonds</a> and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), as coupon income becomes a more reliable source of returns in a low-yield environment. The yield curve's steepness, however, is also being driven by rising bond supply from government, corporate, and municipal issuers, which keeps long-term yields elevated despite the Fed's easing stance <a href="https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/fixed-income-outlook">according to market analysis</a>. Equity markets, by contrast, have shown remarkable resilience. Despite weaker labor data, the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq remain near record highs, <a href="https://www.blackrock.com/us/financial-professionals/insights/fed-rate-cuts-and-potential-portfolio-implications">buoyed by strong earnings from technology and AI-driven sectors</a>. However, <a href="https://www.tdsecurities.com/ca/en/global-strategy-outlook-2026">the shift toward a more multipolar global economy</a> has prompted investors to diversify into small- and mid-cap stocks, as well as international markets like Europe and Japan, where relative valuations appear more attractive. Large-cap tech stocks, while still dominant, are being scrutinized for valuation sustainability in a rate-cutting environment. <h3>Strategic Implications for Investors</h3>For equity investors, the key is balancing growth exposure with risk management. While rate cuts typically favor cyclical sectors and value stocks, the current environment-marked by fragmented global markets and persistent inflation-demands a more nuanced approach. Active management and sector rotation toward high-quality, cash-flow-generating businesses are likely to outperform in 2026. Fixed-income investors, meanwhile, must navigate a landscape where returns are increasingly derived from coupons rather than capital gains. Intermediate-term durations and high-credit-quality bonds offer a buffer against rate volatility, while TIPS and municipal bonds provide inflation protection and tax advantages. Alternative strategies, such as market-neutral and tactical asset allocation, may also gain traction as investors seek diversification in a low-yield world. <h3>Conclusion</h3>The Fed's inflation test in late 2025 is a high-stakes balancing act. While the labor market's softening and inflation's gradual decline justify a cautious approach to rate cuts, the risk of expectation de-anchoring and bond-supply-driven yield pressures complicates the path forward. For investors, the lesson is clear: adaptability and discipline in positioning for both rate cuts and inflation persistence will be critical in 2026. As the Fed navigates this delicate terrain, markets will remain on edge, waiting for the next move in a game where the stakes have never been higher.

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The Fed's Inflation Test and Market Readiness for Rate Cuts

<video src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/yUiJbRIdsus" poster="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/HatfieldFedImage_f7ffd2751764880869720.jpeg" data="{&quot;videoUrl&quot;:&quot;https://www.youtube.com/embed/yUiJbRIdsus&quot;,&quot;coverUrl&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/HatfieldFedImage_f7ffd2751764880869720.jpeg&quot;}"></video><h2></h2>For the first time in its history, the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index—the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge—will land during market hours, dropping tomorrow at 10:00 a.m. ET instead of the long-standing 8:30 a.m. slot. That shift alone raises the risk of real-time volatility, especially after a week where markets have drifted higher on the comfortable assumption that the Fed will deliver a 25-basis-point cut next week. With the November jobs report arriving after the FOMC meeting, this PCE print is effectively the last major piece of data the Fed will see before setting policy. Old September data or not—it&#39;s their only ammunition. <a href="https://www.fxstreet.com/economic-calendar" target='__blank'>Economists expect</a> a steady, nonthreatening release, one that reinforces the narrative of slow and uneven disinflation:• Core PCE (MoM): +0.2% (Aug: +0.2%)

• Core PCE (YoY): 2.9% (Aug: 2.9%)

• Headline PCE (MoM): +0.3% (Aug: +0.3%)

• Headline PCE (YoY): 2.8% (Aug: 2.7%)

• Personal Income: +0.4%

• Personal Spending: +0.4% (down from +0.6%)In isolation, these numbers look familiar—cooler than 2022’s heat spikes, warmer than the Fed’s 2% target, and broadly consistent with the slow march lower that has defined 2024–2025. But the backdrop this month is different. The inflation debate inside the Fed has meaningfully fractured, and tomorrow’s release will allow each faction to claim—or lose—ground.Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, one of the system’s most persistent hawks, has argued that “PCE inflation will end the year around 2.9%,” a level she believes reflects insufficient progress. Governor Chris Waller, who has emerged as one of the system’s clearest doves, counters that “excluding temporary effects, PCE inflation is running 2.5%,” adding bluntly, “I still advocate cutting rates in December.” Fed Chair Jerome Powell has split the difference, estimating both total and core PCE will settle near 2.8% while cautioning that disinflation in services is ongoing but incomplete.That set of competing narratives is what makes the 10 a.m. release so consequential. Powell will walk into next week’s meeting needing a unifying story—and the doves and hawks are not reading from the same script.The <a href="https://www.cmegroup.com/newsletters/infocus/2025/11/markets-mixed-ahead-of-core-pce.html" target='__blank'>market reaction</a> could be sharp because in a mid-day environment, positioning cannot adjust in the pre-market hours as usual. Depth will thin heading into the release, algos will fire instantly, and rate-sensitive sectors such as homebuilders, REITs, and small caps could experience fast two-way swings. A surprise of even a tenth of a percentage point—up or down—could trigger meaningful repricing across yields, the dollar, and tech valuations.But traders should look beyond the headline. Three elements inside the report will matter far more than the top-line MoM or YoY PCE print:First, the Fed will be laser-focused on the three-month annualized pace of core PCE. Anything below 2.5% strengthens the case for a dovish long-term path. Anything above 3% hands the hawks rhetorical ammunition they have been looking for.Second, “supercore” services inflation—services excluding housing—remains Powell’s north star for assessing underlying demand pressure. A sustained slowdown here would meaningfully shift the Fed’s tone next week. The opposite would reinforce Logan’s caution that progress has stalled.Third, breadth matters. The share of categories running above a 2% inflation rate reveals whether price pressure is concentrated or widespread. Narrow inflation is tolerable. Broad inflation forces the Fed to remain restrictive.The accompanying data on personal income and spending will also provide context. Income rising in line with expectations while spending cools would support a clean disinflation narrative. Both running hot? That would raise concerns that demand is still too firm for the Fed’s comfort.This month’s print arrives at a delicate moment for the Fed’s 2026 strategy. A December cut is widely expected, but the real debate is what comes after. Does tomorrow reinforce Waller’s case for steady disinflation and eventual normalization? Or does it bolster Logan’s warning that inflation is plateauing in the high-2% range, implying a longer “higher-for-longer” stance into 2026?Markets have shown little fear this week, drifting upward as if a benign print is pre-ordained. But tomorrow’s mid-session release removes the usual buffer, and the PCE is no longer just another monthly data point. It is the last word the Fed will hear before crafting next week’s message—and the last chance for either the doves or the hawks to claim the upper hand as the 2026 outlook comes into focus.

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PCE Preview: A Rare Mid-Day Inflation Shock Could Jolt Markets and Shape the Fed’s December Message

<video src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/yUiJbRIdsus" poster="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/HatfieldFedImage_e96a5cde1764864991849.jpeg" data="{&quot;videoUrl&quot;:&quot;https://www.youtube.com/embed/yUiJbRIdsus&quot;,&quot;coverUrl&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/HatfieldFedImage_e96a5cde1764864991849.jpeg&quot;}"></video>Snowflake <a href="https://investors.snowflake.com/financials/quarterly-results/default.aspx" target='__blank'>delivered</a> the kind of quarter that would normally be labeled “solid” – modest beats, strong bookings, clear AI momentum, raised guidance – but for a stock trading at 160x+ forward earnings, “solid” was never going to cut it. Shares are down roughly 11% in the wake of the report as investors recalibrate what they are willing to pay for 20-something growth and an AI story that is real, but still early. Technically, the stock is now heading into a key test around the $235 level; if that area fails, the next obvious magnet is the 200-day moving average down near $205, where the longer-term uptrend gets a more serious stress test.On the numbers, Snowflake cleared the <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/snowflake-shares-fall-slower-product-130600639.html" target='__blank'>consensus</a> bar but not by a margin that justifies its premium. Q3 product revenue grew 29% year-over-year to about $1.16 billion, beating expectations of roughly $1.13 billion but marking a slowdown from 32% growth in the prior quarter. Total revenue of $1.21 billion was modestly ahead of the $1.18 billion LSEG consensus. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.35 versus $0.31 expected, helped by a non-GAAP operating margin in the low double digits and product gross margins just under 76%. Remaining performance obligations climbed 37% to $7.88 billion, with more than $1 billion in net new bookings and a net revenue retention rate of 125% – proof that existing customers are still expanding their spend even as top-line growth tapers.The underlying <a href="https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20251203478/why-snowflakes-earnings-beat-isnt-enough-to-lift-its-stock" target='__blank'>business drivers</a> actually looked better than the stock reaction suggests. Management closed a record four nine-figure deals in the quarter, the kind of large, multi-year commitments that speak to Snowflake’s strategic positioning inside large enterprises. Bookings growth accelerated to roughly 50% year-over-year, up from about 30% in the first half, as customers consolidated more data, analytics, and engineering workloads onto the platform. Some of the near-term drag on revenue growth is self-inflicted: Snowflake is offering more favorable pricing on very large or long-dated contracts, which pulls forward bookings but smooths out revenue recognition. A minor hyperscaler outage shaved $1–2 million off revenue, hardly material. For a consumption-name, the story this quarter is that demand is there, but the revenue cadence is a bit lumpy.AI is now central to that demand narrative. Snowflake hit a $100 million AI revenue run-rate a full quarter ahead of schedule, with management noting that AI influenced roughly half of all bookings signed in Q3. Snowflake Intelligence – its agentic AI layer that lets users interact with data via natural language – is seeing the fastest adoption ramp in company history, with roughly 1,200 customers in just a month of launch. About 28% of use cases deployed this quarter involved AI. The company also announced a $200 million multi-year partnership with Anthropic, bringing Claude models directly to Snowflake’s 12,600 customers, along with an expanded go-to-market effort with Accenture to deploy AI agents globally. It is early days, but Snowflake is moving from “AI optionality” to “AI usage you can actually measure.”Guidance was the other flashpoint. For Q4, management guided product revenue to $1.195–1.2 billion, implying 27% growth – slightly slower than Q3’s 29% but about two points ahead of consensus heading into the print. Full-year FY26 product revenue guidance was raised to about $4.446 billion, representing 28% growth (up from 27% previously), and margin targets were reiterated: roughly 75% non-GAAP product gross margin, 9% operating margin, and about 25% adjusted FCF margin. Evercore, Citi, and others noted that Snowflake tends to guide conservatively, and that Q4 assumptions look consistent with stable core data-warehouse demand plus early uplift from AI workloads.The Street’s fundamental take is far more constructive than the tape. Jefferies maintained a Buy and $300 price target, calling Snowflake a top AI pick and highlighting the 37% RPO growth, four nine-figure renewals, and the early AI run-rate as the real story. BofA reiterated its Buy and $310 PT, arguing that Snowflake is becoming a key strategic vendor for enterprise AI and that any topline “inflection” is more of an FY27 event. KeyBanc raised its target to $285, pointing to 50% bookings growth and a Q4 setup that looks “seasonally stronger” than prior years. Citi, despite acknowledging the smallest product beat in a year and slowing growth, said it would be a buyer on the pullback, expecting product growth to re-accelerate back above 30% in Q4 and beyond assuming a typical beat pattern.So why the 11% drop? Expectations. The stock was up about 70% year-to-date into the print and trades at a multiple more than double that of peers like Datadog and MongoDB. Against that backdrop, a 2–3% revenue beat and guidance for high-20s growth – even with excellent bookings and AI momentum – looks merely “decent.” Investors also have to digest the idea that headline growth may hover in the high 20s while AI and new products scale, rather than instantly snapping back to the 40%+ era.From here, the story becomes a tug-of-war between fundamentals and positioning. Fundamentally, Q3 reinforced Snowflake’s status as a core data and AI platform with strong bookings, sticky customers, and growing AI monetization. Technically and sentiment-wise, the market is deciding how much it is willing to pay for that package if growth hovers below 30% for a while. The $235 support level will tell you how forgiving investors feel in the short term; a break toward the 200-day near $205 would suggest they want a cheaper entry before betting on Snowflake’s AI flywheel kicking into higher gear.

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